Friday, February 27, 2015

Waves are weak, lineup is crowded and Elliott got some weird camera gear for a shoot

2 27 15 morning call

Yesterday's surfing photo from Hookipa is from Jimmie Hepp and shows legendary Ilima Kalama ripping at age 72 (or maybe more).

I'm inspired by the dad just as much as I'm inspired by the son (Dave) and I'm gonna share a stupid secret plan that I have.
If I ever make it to age 75, I wonna be the best 75 years old surfer on the planet. That means that the competition will be between me and all the other class 1963 surfers still out there. I might even have to organize a contest...
Robby Naish was born in that year. Good luck to me!

This morning no graphs, just the Pauwela buoy 7am reading:
7.7ft @ 10s from 79° (ENE)
That is a fairly big windswell you guys. Did you notice it in yesterday's call? Hookipa looked fun, but crowded as usual. Instead I surfed a spot that I'm gonna call 3B's because it was Big, Beautiful and Blue.
Crazy amount of paddling though... windswells are very consistent, because they are closely generated.

Wind map shows promising fetches, we'll see how those will develop. In the meantime, it's all about the ENE windswell and today the wind will be very light.

Have fun in the sun everyone!

PS. All the sources for this post are permanently linked in the links section on the right of this blog.

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Pure windswell still glassy at 11am, but some texture is coming.

2 26 morning call

Windsurfing photo from yesterday from Jimmie Hepp still shows some head high waves.

Surfing photo from yesterday shows some waves in Kihei too. I'm gonna guess head high too.

No graphs today, everything is going down, you can check yourself with link n.11
5am main swell buoy readings:
4.9ft @ 10s from 287° (WNW)
3.8ft @ 12s from 286° (WNW)
1.9ft @ 5s from 67° (ENE)

4ft @ 13s from 292° (WNW)           
2.1ft @ 8s from 25° (NNE)
2.7ft @ 10s from 327° (NW)

Pauwela (indicative of what's in the water on Maui's north shore)
8.2ft @ 9s from 70° (ENE)
4.2ft @ 13s from 323° (NW)

West lanai Maui north shore (indicative of what's in the water on Maui's south shore)
3.1ft @ 13s from 253° (WSW)           
1.2ft @ 9s from 222° (SW)
1.1ft @ 6s from 171° (S)

At Hookipa is going to be mostly about the windswell. The good news is that at 6.30am there's not much wind yet.

According to the NAM model there shouldn't be much also for the rest of the day, but look how different the HRW model is. We'll see which one is right.

The wind direction will be a little more east than yesterday and the two fetches we have today are both weak.

The weather is about to get pretty bad, so have fun in the sun everyone now that there's still some!

PS. All the sources for this post are permanently linked in the links section on the right of this blog.

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Had to wait quite a bit before that head high set hit the point. Before that, only windswell. Windy, bit rainy, kinda cold. Could be better, could be worse.

2 25 15 morning call

Windsurfing shot from yesterday to start the call. Sailor: Morgan Noireaux, photog Jimmie Hepp.

Before I get into the call, I'd like to share this flyer that has been seen at Hookipa. A 23yo german surfer died and his mom came all the way here because his son watched a surf movie from Hawaii in which they did a paddle out for a fellow surfer. He was very emotionally touched and told his mom about it. And now she's here looking for surfers for a paddle out for him. Gonna happen this morning, Wednesday 25 at 8am.

Buoys are interesting this morning. These three are NW, W and Waimea. The first two show a significant rise up to almost 8f. The third is not showing much of that.

These other two are Pauwela and Lanai. No sign of that rise either. What do you guys think? Where did the swell go? All dissipated into refraction?
I think it's gonna get bigger today...
Too bad there's wind and windswell (6f 8s) to ruin it. Another good day for wind related sports though.

Another relatively bad wind map. Not much energy generated towards us. Where that low is, there will be some bad weather all next week. NE wind, rain and medium/short period waves. Not good.
Not complaining, just reporting, that's my duty.
Have fun in the sun everyone!

PS. All the sources for this post are permanently linked in the links section on the right of this blog.

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

2 24 15 morning call

Sorry for the late post, knowing the forecast, I chose to sleep in...

Quick Jimmie Hepp photo from yesterday to start with. Lots of sailors at Hookipa, they've been starving for months.

As the buoys show, there was not much on offer this morning. Below is NW and Waimea, and the first one is reading 5f of the new WNW swell (remember that nice fetch we saw the past few days?).
Only 2.5f at Waimea and I circled the areas that would seem correspondent in the two graphs and I also continued the Waimea graph into the future. That's how it would be IF... the swell was hitting Waimea directly! But it's most definitely not (the direction at the NW is 280!).
So I have no idea of how big it is going to be. The ww3 model (and similar) do and they say 4f 12s but only tomorrow. Same for Maui.

Below is Pauwela and Lanai, both reading about 1.5f 15s. Notice the extremely different directions (319 vs 266). And yet, that is the same swell. One part of it is wrapping around the island chain from the north, the other one from the south. Pretty amazing, really.

Wind maps are starting to show signs of the winter slowing down. That is the toughest part of the year for me. March is knocking on the door and I absolutely hate that. Only two insignificant fetches aiming at Hawaii today, that means that we're gonna have some really small days ahead. Particularly the weekend.

 Fortunately when one ocean goes to sleep, the other wants to wake up.
Below is the south pacific maps of Feb. 14, 15 and 16. I circled a little fetch that wasn't that strong at all, but nonetheless is causing Surfline to predict 1.8f 14s from the south today, tomorrow and thursday. Seems like a really weak forecast, but it won't be flat. Maui's south spots need much more than that to go off.
The threshold is right there at 2f 15s. Anything under that, Waikiki can still be waist to chest high and Maui gets ankle to knee. One main reason for that: Kahoolawe.

I'm also posting today's map from downunder to show that fetch that I talked about a couple of days ago. I have very low expectations on that one, since it's really sending its energy to central America rather than us. The angular spreading will allow inconsistent long period lines to arrive around Monday/Tuesday and those should be above that threshold I just mentioned.

Ah, if I had the luxury of the webcams when I do my call at the normal time!
Hookipa to the left and Lahaina to the right show small waves, but not flat.

To summarize today's prediction: trade winds will be blowing and the WNW swell will be slowly peaking up all day, but the biggest day should be tomorrow.

Have fun in the sun everyone!

PS. All the sources for this post are permanently linked in the links section on the right of this blog.

Monday, February 23, 2015

Small and a bit windy. This a shoulder high one at pavils.

2 23 15 morning call

The trades are back, so are the windsurfers at Hookipa.
Here's my favorite sailor Levi Siver in a photo from Jimmie Hepp.

As you can see from the photo above, there were still plenty overhead sets yesterday with 5f at the buoy. As the graphs show (first one below is NW and Waimea), everything is going down, so expect smaller sizes today.

These two are Pauwela and Lanai. They still have 4f 12s and 2f 13s so there should be something to play with on both shores.

Not the most exciting wind map. Just a little fetch WNW of us. We will have some small days towards the end of the week, after a moderate WNW swell peaking on Tuesday created by that same fetch that yesterday looked a lot better.

More wind for the wind passionates. This map is the noon one.

Have fun in the sun everyone!

PS. All the sources for this post are permanently linked in the links section on the right of this blog.