Wednesday, November 25, 2020

8.15am

Hookipa has waist to shoulder high short period waves and light to moderate trades texture. 
2

Wednesday 11 25 20 morning call

Blog reader Scott found out that the NOAA and NWS are about (jan 1st) to ditch the lovely page with Pat Caldwell table and discussion. Here's the page with the notice.
They're asking to send comments to nws.srd.feedback@noaa.gov. Please let them know by December 20 if you don't want that to happen. Mine had: "please keep Pat Caldwell's page up" already the subject... Thanks.

Hookipa in the late afternoon had moments of magic light and plenty rainbows. Surfing conditions were very poor.



6am significant buoy readings and discussion
.
South shore
Barbers
0.4ft @ 20s from 204° (SSW)

Lanai

0.7ft @ 14s from 197° (SSW)

Slivers of long period period SSW energy at the buoys, I checked the maps and didn't find any possible fetch for it. That usually means that there won't be much in the water, so check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
Mokapu
6.7ft @ 9s from 77° (ENE)

No NW energy left at any of the buoys, all we have today is the usual short period ENE energy. Hookipa will have waves up to head high (or smaller) while bigger size can probably be found on  eastern exposures.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Tuesday, November 24, 2020

Tuesday 11 24 20 morning call

Couple of shots from yesterday's session.


Jackson's wrap.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. At least today there is something. I haven't seen a wave like this over there in a long time.

North shore
Waimea
3.1ft @ 13s from 323° (NW)

Mokapu
7.3ft @ 9s from 70° (ENE)

Small NW energy will be going up and down throughout this week, with an up trend towards Friday. More details on where those 3ft 13s come from can be found in Pat Caldwell's description of the evolution of the fetches below:
The source for the surf 11/22-23 was from a long, wide fetch of middle gales north of 40N aimed highest to the NE of Hawaii. The pattern progressed eastward behind a cold front starting from the Kuril Islands 11/18 to a position north of Hawaii about 1200 nm away 11/20 then east of the Hawaii swell window 11/21. The decay phase of this source should allow breakers to stick around for a few days since the tail of the fetch of marginal gales was still 2400 nm Friday morning. Heights should slowly trend down late Monday to quasi-moderate Tuesday on the sets then small on Wednesday from the same direction when a new below average event is due.
 
The already posted collage of maps of Nov16 to 20 might help follow (fetch n.2).

Since the easterly windswell energy is still at pretty elevated levels, I believe that is what we will see most in the water. Hookipa will be head to overhead high and blown out. Plenty messy waves on eastern exposures too.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Monday, November 23, 2020

Monday 11 23 20 morning call

No photos of the day, here's the latest video released by Kai Lenny. 33minutes, haven't watched it yet.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW101
5.5ft @ 12s from 335° (NNW)

Waimea
3.2ft @ 13s from 330° (NW)

Mokapu
8.7ft @ 9s from 64° (ENE)

Hilo
10.5ft @ 9s from 83° (E)

NW swell not looking particularly impressive at Waimea, at least compared to the really high windswell this episode of blustery trades has created. Hookipa will be well overhead and blown out, the direct eastern exposures will be drowning material.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Sunday, November 22, 2020

Sunday 11 22 20 morning call

I gave Hookipa a 1.5 yesterday. I confirmed it after surfing it, yet it was fun. Wherever there's a challenge, there's fun.


Conditions like that suit the windsurfers a lot better as they can go around closing out sections or use them to their advantage. Photo from Jimmie Hepp's album of the day.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW101
6.5ft @ 13s from 343° (NNW)

Waimea

2.5ft @ 11s from 351° (N)
2.3ft @ 13s from 320° (NW)

Mokapu
10.7ft @ 9s from 56° (ENE)

New NW pulse shows pretty solid at the NW buoys, and should be on the rise all day locally. It's probably in the water already, but with more than 10ft 9s of ENE windswell is going to be noticeable only in the late morning or afternoon. Another very windy day, so conditions (for surfing) will be horrible on the north shore. Home guess for Hookipa is overhead, blown out and all over the place. Honolua will have much cleaner waves, specially in the afternoon.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Saturday, November 21, 2020

6.30am

Hookipa is head high and blown out. 
1.5

Saturday 11 21 20 morning call

This is my pick of Jimmie Hepp's album of yesterday action at Hookipa.


4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW001
3.9ft @ 12s from 345° (NNW)

Waimea
2ft @ 14s from 321° (NW)

Mokapu
6.5ft @ 8s from 64° (ENE)

A couple of new NW swells are predicted to arrive during the weekend. Here's how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetches:

1) Low to medium gales behind an east-moving front west of the Date Line north of 40N 11/16-17 grew seas near 20 feet. The winds were much less and seas much lower than the source in the similar area that produced the 11/19 event locally. Thus, the dominant wave period is expected to be shorter, along with the arriving swell height, resulting in small to moderate breakers. This short-lived event should pick up Saturday from 310-335 degrees and peak late Saturday PM well below the seasonal average, then drop into Sunday.

2) The next fetch set up 11/18-19 between the Kuril Islands to the Date Line north of 40N, with a similar eastward shift behind a front. The front reached 40N, 160W, NNW of Hawaii, by early Friday 11/20. It is modelled to be east of the Hawaii swell window by late 11/20. A long, wide fetch of lower-end gales grew seas 15-20 feet, nosing to near 1200 nm Friday. The lower wind speeds mean the dominant wave period of the swell will lean toward moderate levels of 12-16 seconds. The event is expected to build mid Sunday from 310-345 degrees, peak Sunday night near to a notch under the average, then slowly decline Monday from the same direction. With the tail of the fetch 2400 nm away early Friday, the decay phase of the event should be long-lived in the small category. This source should keep small breakers Tuesday into Wednesday from the same direction.

Below is the collage of the maps of Nov 16 through 20 that will help follow the above description. I numbered the two fetches for your convenience. Look at the fetch on the map and then go see (even better surf) the swell and you'll build a valuable knowledge.


The buoys show pretty low energy from the first one (assuming those 2ft 14s at Waimea are that), so I wouldn't expect this one to be particularly big. More energy will be provided by the elevated ENE windswell shown by Mokapu. Conditions will be pretty horrible everywhere on the north shore, due to the very blustery winds predicted over the weekend. It's also true that usually those winds in winter time bring a lot of rain, so in between squalls there could be windows of decency.

Home guess for Hookipa this morning is head high and blown out.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Friday, November 20, 2020

6.45am

Hookipa has head to head and a third sloppy (high tide) waves. Conditions change constantly with wind and rain. 
5

Friday 11 20 20 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning: Kai Lenny surfing and shooting.


Later on the windsurfers faced challenging conditions.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW
5.2ft @ 12s from 333° (NNW)

Waimea
4.1ft @ 14s from 322° (NW)

Mokapu
4.9ft @ 7s from 66° (ENE)

NW swell peaked yesterday and today it's going to be slowly declining but still pretty elevated all day. Assuming there's 4ft 14s in the Maui waters, Hookipa will have overhead (and possibly blown out) waves to start the day with.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Thursday, November 19, 2020

6.30am

Hookipa has a mix of leftover short period shoulder to head high waves and inconsistent long period overhead sets. 
Waves are less sloppy than yesterday, but there's a bit of chop induced by the light trades. 
5