Wednesday, July 26, 2017
Tuesday, July 25, 2017
This photo instead was taken by Harry Wievel Saturday (the rest of his album contains plenty pics of the race). The sail is a 2.7 KS3, the boom is an alu kids boom, the mast is 310 and I'm loving the light weight of the rig. Going back to my regular rig for traditional wave sailing will be hard.
3am significant buoy readings
4.2ft @ 10s from 128° (ESE)
No southerly energy at the outer buoys other than the reported one that Pat Caldwell describes like this:
Strong trades in the SE Pacific south is expected to be the dominant summer background surf this week. The primary southern hemisphere mid latitude sources for Hawaii summer surf have been dormant in recent weeks.
Check the webcams for size and conditions. I will do that from the easterly exposure I surfed yesterday (which could easily be onshore) and compare to choose my morning session spot.
4.5ft @ 8s from 63° (ENE)
That's a decent direction for Maui's north shore, Hookipa will have blown out windswell.
Wind map at noon shows some easterly trades and those usually end up being pretty strong and gusty.
North Pacific shows a well oriented windswell fetch and a small west fetch associated with the southern flank of typhoon Noru. Here's how Pat Caldwell describes this configuration.
Typhoon Noru near 25°N, 155°E 7/23-24 has had a slow jog toward the east as it undergoes the fujiwara spin with a weaker cyclone to its north. This motion is favorable for producing swell for Hawaii. However, it is a low-end typhoon with a compact fetch aimed towards Hawaii at a distance over 2500 nm. In addition,the direction is partially shadowed on Oahu by Niihau and Kauai. Small surf from 270-275 degrees is possible locally for select westerly exposures on Oahu filling in Friday and peaking Saturday.
He put 1f 16 and 2f 14 from the W for Friday and Saturday, while Surfline only indicates 1f 12s for Sunday. I tend to agree with the latter, we'll see.
South Pacific only shows a fetch way down SW and I have no knowledge of how much we'll receive from that position. My guess is very little.
The rain monster is now north of Kauai and yesterday it spared us (not the north shore of Oahu though). It was a pretty muggy day anyway, but today it should be back to the trades kinda weather.
Last, but not least, here's a comparison of the long term Surfline forecast (available only to subscribers) between my favorite Indo spot (left) and Maui's south shore (right). I wanted to go mid/end August, but, seen the continuing of the small waves conditions here, I've been asking myself what I am waiting for and today I might instead book a ticket for as early as tomorrow. Obviously, you'll learn from the blog if I do.
Monday, July 24, 2017
5am significant buoy readings
2.3ft @ 12s from 166° (SSE)
That's the only southerly energy reading I could find at the outer buoys (it shows up intermittently also at the W buoy). Still much better than nothing, but the problem is the southerly wind that this morning is ruining the usually pristine conditions in Lahaina. Here's a snapshot from the webcam, too bad that was a chest high set.
3.6ft @ 7s from 64° (ENE)
4.7ft @ 9s from 76° (ENE)
4.2ft @ 7s from 57° (ENE)
Very small windswell reading at Pauwela, Fernanda wasn't able to boost it. I will post a beach report from Hookipa later, but it should be pretty small, but, for once, pretty clean .
Wind map at noon shows the light southerly flow caused by the Fernanda's remnants.
North Pacific continues to show only the windswell fetch. Actually there's a tiny W one, but I don't think it will send us much. Models agree. There actually is a west swell in the Surfline forecast, but that's only in a couple of weeks, so definitely not from today's fetch.
South Pacific shows a fetch only way down SW, but I don't think we'll get much from that far. Models agree again.
The satellite picture shows a bit of a rain monster developing just north of us. Check the animation at link n.6 of GP's meteo websites list, it's quite remarkable how quickly the thing grew.
Plenty rain offshore.
PS. Sorry, I just found out that yesterday's photo from Koki Beach in Hana wasn't from the day before, but from a week ago.
Sunday, July 23, 2017
In fact, while the Maui Race Series were being held (photo by Jimmie Hepp from this gallery), I went windfoiling at upper Kanaha. I was riding the windswell breakers up there, pretty much on the background of these guys. So much fun (and a little scary) to drop into a wave and have no idea of how the foil is going to react. Big part of the fun of this new sport, is because you got to figure things out pretty much from scratch. As usual, I learned a lot and today I hope to go again.
This photo showing a couple of Maui legends getting ready for a foiled SUP downwinder. was posted by my friend Tomoko on Facebook. She titled it: Foil fever still going strong in the summer. I think Maui has lots of people who likes to explore new horizon, struggle and get beaten up by nature.
Here's the comment I posted: I was windfoiling on the waves at uppers instead. Well... trying to!So much fun to have to figure that out going through all you wrote. I just chose to minimize the "struggling and getting beaten up by nature part"... :)
And in case you were wondering how the waves were in Hana, here's a shot of Memphis Brown at Koki Beach taken by his dad Jesse.
5am significant buoy readings
2.8ft @ 12s from 142° (SE)
That's the only indication of southerly energy I could see at the outer buoys, the webcams will be key to determine size and conditions. I'm not going this morning since I work at 9 and couldn't get up early enough. I windfoiled 2 hours without the harness yesterday and I'm quite beat up this morning.
There we go, I caught a shoulder high bomb for you guys. But the minus low tide at 9am will definitely kill the size a bit.
4.1ft @ 9s from 83° (E)
5.2ft @ 9s from 88° (E)
Those are the numbers of the Fernanda-reinforced windswell at the buoys, the true direction and size and the ones at Hilo, and that means that Hookipa is a bit sheltered. Stay tuned for a beach report, I'm not going to Lahaina, but I'm definitely going to Hookipa later.
Wind map at noon shows extremely light wind. This model is being quite off lately, let's see what happens today.
North Pacific only shows the windswell fetch.
No fetches of any consequences in the South Pacific.
We finally see Fernanda in the satellite close-up. Actually, we don't because the center of counterclockwise circulation is where I drew the F and the clouds completely dissipated there. The ones north of it just formed in the last few hours. Rain or shine, should be another stunning day.
Saturday, July 22, 2017
To whom it may concern, here's a few details about my windfoiling session. Yesterday I started with the Kai foil and a 2.7, since the wind was pretty strong. Then an offshore squall reduced the wind speed considerably and I first changed the foil for the Maliko, but it was still not enough. Then I rigged my biggest sail (a 4.3) and that was definitely enough for foiling, but the rig felt awfuly heavy (and it's the lightest 4.3 in the world!) compared to the 2.7. The wind picked up a notch again and I swapped back to the 2.7 (I now have enough gear to set up two rigs at the same time) and, still with the Maliko, it was finally absolutely perfect and extremely fun. Unfortunately I only had 20 minutes at that point, but I learned a lot. The main thing I learned is how important it is to have a small/light sail in your hands when you foil.
2am significant buoy readings
3ft @ 13s from 148° (SE)
2.9ft @ 12s from 118° (ESE)
Still background southerly energy at the outer buoys, check webcams and my beach report for size and conditions.
4.4ft @ 9s from 77° (ENE)
6.8ft @ 9s from 78° (ENE)
Fernanda contributed to elevate the size and period of the trades windswell and what is reported by the buoys above is what is in our waters. To answer the reader that left a comment yesterday and the many friends that asked me about it: that is definitely going to hit Hana. Worth driving or not, depends on your preferences. Koki Beach will have the most size which I guess to be in the head high range with possible bigger sets. Hookipa will have waves too, with the usual trades on it.
Wind map at noon. The weird configuration predicted for yesterday didn't happen and those offshores in Lahaina shouldn't happen today either. Unfortunately.
North Pacific's wave generation for us is mostly due to the trades windswell fetch. Pat Caldwell commented: The north Pacific tropics are active across the basin. One can count 10 tropical cyclonic gyres in the wind field between Mexico and china on 7/21. Tropical system Greg is the next cyclone with potential for surf in Hawaii. Models suggest a similar enhancement to trade winds north of the cyclone that could bring shorter- period surf above average within 7/28-30.
South Pacific shows a fetch in the Tasman Sea. Pat Caldwell says: a gale in the Tasman sea has had strongest winds aimed west of Fiji. The area aimed towards Hawaii has had lower end gales. It is compensated in surf potential for Hawaii by reaching into the subtropics. It should become the dominant background swell locally from 208-220 degrees 7/28-30.
Some clouds and rain on tap, but Fernanda is still not in the picture yet (just outside of it today).
Friday, July 21, 2017
7am hookipa has short period waves that from the distance looked like shoulder high. West side is mostly knee high, peaks is windy, olowalu glassy but no sets when I drove by, launiupoko knee high and clean. Lahaina town, as usual, has occasionally bigger sets.
3-4am significant buoy readings
2.3ft @ 12s from 137° (SE)
2.7ft @ 12s from 138° (SE)
Is that southerly energy or is that Fernanda's swell or a mix? I think it's southerly energy with an incorrect direction indication. And that's because I remember some decent fetches a week ago. Below is the collage of July 14, 15 and 16 and that is what Pat Caldwell describes with words (doing an excellent job, as usual): A large area of surface low pressure in the southern hemisphere mid latitudes south of French Polynesia stretching NW to NE of New Zealand was mostly sub-gale in strength. It was slow moving with a gradual eastward shift 7/12-16. It will likely be the source of the summer background conditions as found 7/19 continuing through the period.
As usual, the webcams will give us not only the confirmation of that, but also a good idea of the local conditions. Watch out the morning's new moon minus low tides.
4.3ft @ 9s from 84° (E)
6.6ft @ 8s from 86° (E)
The windswell went down in size but got to 9s at Pauwela, while the longer period Fernanda swell disappeared at Hilo (at least from the 3am readings). That, and the easterly reported directions, makes me call for a fairly small day at Hookipa. Not flat, but nothing to do with a couple of days ago when the windswell had a much more northerly direction.
Wind map at noon shows a peculiar configuration that I've never seen before and so I highly question. It'll be easy to check it's correctness thanks to the Lahaina webcam and the Kahului harbor sensors.
North Pacific only shows an easterly windswell fetch.
Decent fetch in the Tasman Sea, but don't get too excited about it unless you're flying to Fiji, where Surfline predicts 11f 14s on Monday. Unfortunately only 1.7f 15s is our prediction a week. That's how much energy those Tasman Sea swells lose on their way.
Despite the fact that Fernanda is not in the picture just yet, looks like we might start experiencing some moisture and clouds as early as today.
Thursday, July 20, 2017
Mid afternoon the windswell jumped up quite a bit and some windsurfers tackled the head high waves at Hookipa, but it honestly didn't look particularly epic.
So I chose to go surfing again and I found a spot that looked poor from the beach, but it was much better once I paddled out. Thanks to the magic 9.4 I had a couple of waves in the excellent range. Hookipa at sunset instead looked like a 2 to me.
4am significant buoy readings
2.2ft @ 12s from 136° (SE)
3.5ft @ 12s from 95° (E)
3.4ft @ 12s from 127° (ESE)
Impossible to say how much energy we have on tap from the south, as the readings are influenced by the similar period energy coming from around 100 degrees from Fernanda. The webcams will be our only way to find out about size and conditions.
5ft @ 8s from 61° (ENE)
And here's one of those gems that I absolutely love. I admit it: if uncle Pat was a rock singer, I'd be a roadie. In the tropical eastern north Pacific, tropical cyclone Greg has formed and could bring easterly exposures a Hana hou to the Fernanda gig mid to late next week.
Here's the latest predicted path of Fernanda.
And here's Caldwell's table for Oahu (in this case it will apply with no differences to Maui). Good size short/medium period energy, but pretty bad wind direction.
Wind map at noon.
North shore keeps showing only the windswell fetch.
South Pacific shows a fetch in the Tasman Sea.
More clouds on top of us, but I like how the upwind sky looks like. Maybe we'll get some sunshine before the storm (which is not in the picture yet).
Wednesday, July 19, 2017
This year I plan on leaving late August, so if you plan on visiting Maui around that time for about a month, email me to check the availability of my studio/car.
2-3am significant buoy readings
1.9ft @ 13s from 150° (SE)
2.5ft @ 12s from 167° (SSE)
2.7ft @ 12s from 146° (SE)
Couple of feet of southerly energy at the outer buoys, and I'm going longboarding again. Check webcams and my beach report for conditions and size.
4.1ft @ 7s from 37° (NE)
1.8ft @ 13s from 109° (ESE)
The NOAA WW3 model predicts 4f 15s at 8am and Surfline (which integrates the WW3 into their near shore model) predicts 5f 15s both from around 100 degrees for the swell generated a few days ago by Fernanda. Both are quite off unfortunately as Hilo (the most exposed buoy to 100 degrees) only reads what reported. Only barely a foot at Pauwela, while the northerly windswell will remain the main source of waves for Hookipa with 4f 7s.
The models prediction always looked a bit too high to me for such a small (although intense) fetch as the one Fernanda had. So, unless the swell builds later in the day (check the buoys for that), or unless you go to Hana, no hurricane surfing today.
Wind map at noon. Looks like pretty strong trades.
North Pacific only shows a windswell fetch.
No fetches worth circling in the South Pacific, we got to wait until tomorrow for the one in the Tasman Sea to form.
Some clouds, but the potential for another stunning day (like yesterday ended up to be) is there.
Tuesday, July 18, 2017
This is Marlon Lewis who is knowledgeable enough to score perfect foiling conditions inside the harbor thanks to the northerly windswell. Now that I know what amazing feeling foiling is, this was the comment that I left: "I just got myself a Maliko and even though I'll take my time, sooner or later, I promise, I'll do that too. And it will be because this shot inspired me a hell lot. I went windfoiling in the harbor later in the day and I saw those rollers coming in. I didn't even think about them as being good for what you were doing earlier. That's how much of a game changer those foils are!"
Again, don't look at that with the eyes of the surfer. He's not surfing, he's foiling.
4am significant buoy readings.
2.2ft @ 13s from 154° (SSE)
2.2ft @ 12s from 175° (S)
2.3ft @ 13s from 158° (SSE)
Lovely couple of feet of southerly energy at the outer buoys. After yesterday's session at Hookipa, I know I'd rather go to Lahaina again this morning. Check webcams and my beach report for size and conditions.
4.4ft @ 7s from 42° (NE)
Wind map at noon.
North Pacific only shows a windswell fetch and Fernanda slowly getting closer.
The big blue picture shows many more tropical storms cells behind.
I didn't circle any fetches in the South Pacific, 'cause they all look way too weak for us. Tomorrow there will be a better one in the Tasman Sea. Time to book a Fiji trip if you got time, money and skill.
Still a bit of moisture around us.