Monday, October 26, 2020

6.30am

Hookipa is head and a half to double and no wind, yet not particularly clean at the moment. 
6.5

Monday 10 26 20 morning call

 Great day of big waves on the north shore. This is one from my first session.


This is my pick from Jimmie Hepp's album of the windsurfing action at Hookipa.


3-4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
0.5ft @ 20s from 218° (SW)

Lanai
0.5ft @ 20s from 187° (S)

Half foot 20s at both buoys, below is the collage of the maps of Oct 18, 19 and 20. I put a red arrow to indicate the possible source (angular spreading blue circled fetch). Wouldn't be too excited about it, but keep an eye on the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


Here's a 6.13am beauty.


North shore
NW101
5.5ft @ 12s from 303° (WNW)

Hanalei
5.3ft @ 13s from 314° (NW)

Waimea
4.6ft @ 13s from 320° (NW)


NW swell peaked yesterday, but still plenty waves on offer on the north shore today. Hookipa will probably be around head and a half to start with and slowly decline all day (but not much).

Wind map at noon
.The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Sunday, October 25, 2020

6.30am

Hookipa has double overhead to closeout sets and long lulls. Not user friendly. 
5

Sunday 10 25 20 morning call

 This is Sunset Beach yesterday at sunset. The NW swell was on the rise in Oahu and this double overhead set caught everybody inside. 

3am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Lanai
2.2ft @ 14s from 198° (SSW)

Lanai showing decent SSW energy (could be a glitch), check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW101
8.5ft @ 15s from 315° (NW)

Hanalei
6.1ft @ 15s from 323° (NW)

Waimea
5.8ft @ 17s from 319° (NW)

NW swell picked up nicely during the night, below are the graphs of NW101 and Waimea together with the Surfline forecast (as usual, a bit late). The red dotted line I drew is how I think the swell will be in Maui. With Pauwela offline, my guess of the sunrise reading is around 5ft 17s, peaking around mid day. That's double overhead at Hookipa, Jaws might have relatively small waves, possibly also Honolua, but only inconsistent sets (seen the direction around 320) with best conditions at sunset (lower tide and light offshore winds).


Yesterday I added the fetch maps collage (Oct 20 through 23) together with Pat Caldwell's description of the fetch evolution a while after I first posted the call, so check it out there if you missed it. Here's the maps again, looks the strongest on the 22nd.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Saturday, October 24, 2020

Saturday 10 24 20 morning call

Thanks to blog reader Semi for the donation.

Jackson Dorian and a bunch of other very lucky kids.

5am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.3ft @ 13s from 189° (S)

Lanai
1.5ft @ 13s from 193° (SSW)
0.7ft @ 16s from 200° (SSW)

Small numbers at the buoys should equate to small waves in the water.
Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
Mokapu
2.7ft @ 8s from 63° (ENE)

Hilo
4.7ft @ 8s from 85° (E)

No sign of the big NW swell at the buoys, so for Maui it's only starting tomorrow. Today, the usual small waves at Hookipa and eastern exposures.

Here's Pat Caldwell description of the evolution of the fetch of tomorrow's swell:
A compact, gale, low-pressure cell near 45N, 175E late 10/20 moved ESE to 175W 10/21 as it strengthened. The system became occluded by late 10/21 which coincides with a slowing of the track, a broadening of the circulation gyre, and a strengthening of the surface winds. The pattern has remained fairly stationary 10/22-23 with a slight N shift of the center. It is expected to weaken sharply 10/24. The initial gales over the 315-330 degree band increased to within severe gales to storm-force winds after the occlusion late 10/21 into 10/22 as the fetch favored 320-335 degrees. The head of the fetch reached near 40N, 175W or about 1500 nm away 10/22 PM. JASON altimeter 00Z 23 OCT, or 2 PM HST Thursday, showed combined seas and swell above 20 feet near 40N, 175W, higher than modelled by the Wave Watch III. The long, wide fetch held the same into mid Friday 10/23 though winds have steadily dropped toward the marginal gale bracket over the 320-335 degree band over the last 18 hours. Long-period forerunners are due locally near sundown Saturday from 315-330 degrees. The event should be above the October average by dawn Sunday 10/25. The event should peak mid Sunday centered from 325 degrees. Heights should slowly decline to near the October average by Tuesday 10/27 from the same direction. The event should linger at small levels 10/28 and fade 10/29.


Below is the collage of the maps of Oct 20 through 23 that will help follow.


Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).
Wind maps not available today, here's two models of the windguru page both showing some trades in the afternoon.


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Friday, October 23, 2020

7.45am

Hookipa is flat with inconsistent clean soft shoulder high sets. 
3

Friday 10 23 20 morning call

Thanks to blog reader Shep for the donation.

No picture of the day, this is Robby Naish at Spartans by Darrell Wong.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

1.4ft @ 14s from 182° (S)
1.1ft @ 11s from 180° (S)

Lanai
1.5ft @ 14s from 198° (SSW)

The numbers at the buoys would suggest fun size waves, but the Lahaina webcam only shows small ones. Check it if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
Mokapu
2.8ft @ 9s from 56° (ENE)

Another day of small waves at Hookipa and on eastern exposures with clean conditions in the morning.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Thursday, October 22, 2020

Thursday 10 22 20 morning call

 This is a good example of the kind of waves at Hookipa yesterday morning.



4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

1.5ft @ 11s from 188° (S)
1ft @ 15s from 198° (SSW)

Lanai

1.5ft @ 11s from 198° (SSW)
1.1ft @ 15s from 196° (SSW)

One foot 15s plus one and a half 11s will make for small waves on the south shore. Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.




North shore
Mokapu
3ft @ 9s from 56° (ENE)

Small easterly energy on tap also today, small waves at Hookipa and on eastern exposures.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Wednesday, October 21, 2020

7.30am

Hookipa has inconsistent glassy soft chest to head high peaks. 
6

Wednesday 10 21 20 morning call

 Fun size waves at Hookipa and on the eastern exposures yesterday, this is Kai Lenny working on his next video.


What a job, uh? You need to be able to do things like this though...


5am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

1.6ft @ 11s from 195° (SSW)
0.9ft @ 16s from 201° (SSW)

Lanai

1.6ft @ 11s from 193° (SSW)
0.9ft @ 16s from 195° (SSW)

Very small energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. Once in a while there's a 16s wave/set.



North shore
Waimea

2.6ft @ 9s from 15° (NNE)
1.5ft @ 11s from 26° (NNE)

Mokapu
2.8ft @ 10s from 61° (ENE)

Hilo
4.7ft @ 9s from 54° (ENE)

NE energy seems slightly smaller today, but there should still be fun size waves at Hookipa and on the eastern exposures.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Tuesday, October 20, 2020

Tuesday 10 20 20 morning call

 Kai Lenny's latest video.


6am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.4ft @ 12s from 190° (S)

Lanai
2.2ft @ 13s from 193° (SSW)

Couple of feet 13s at Lanai make for fun size waves on the south shore. Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. There's occasional shoulder high sets.




North shore
NW101
5.8ft @ 8s from 281° (WNW)

Waimea

2.4ft @ 9s from 21° (NNE)
2ft @ 11s from 20° (NNE)

Mokapu

2.9ft @ 9s from 65° (ENE)
2.8ft @ 11s from 64° (ENE)

None of that WNW energy up at the NW buoy will reach us, today we're dealing with the small energy from the NE you see at Waimea and Mokapu. Hookipa and the eastern exposures will have small but clean waves thanks to the lack of wind in the morning. Here's Pat Caldwell description of the fetch:

A long-lived, stationary surface high pressure 10/13-19 near 1030 mb at 40N, 140W set up a long, wide fetch over the 45-60 degree band of fresh to strong breezes for the portion closest to Hawaii within 30-40N, 130-145W, or beyond a 1000 nm, and near gales furthest away closer to California aimed SE of Hawaii. This should bring surf near to a notch above the east side average overnight Monday. The PacIOOS/CDIP Mokapu, Oahu, and Hilo, Hawaii buoys show some indications of low forerunners in the 10-12 second band Monday morning 10/19. Wave Watch III model shows the peak of the event Tuesday. With the large source, it should be long-lived with a slow decline leading into the weekend.

Below are the maps of Oct 13 through 17. As you can see, there's a fetch to our east on each of them. There's going to be easterly energy all week.


Wind map at noon
.The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Monday, October 19, 2020

6.30am

Hookipa has clean short period head high waves. 
7

Monday 10 19 20 morning call

Thanks to Renew Your Spirit for the donation.
This is Hookipa around 9am. Looks like Yuri.


Well, if it isn't, he surfs like Yuri!

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

2.4ft @ 9s from 225° (SW)
1.8ft @ 13s from 185° (S)

Lanai

2.5ft @ 13s from 186° (S)
2.4ft @ 10s from 214° (SW)
0.6ft @ 18s from 198° (SSW)

New long period Tasman Sea swell is very small at Lanai, but 1.5ft 13s will provide more consistent and bigger waves (there's head high sets) to the south shore. Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

Below are the graphs of the maps of Oct 12 through 14. The Tasman Sea swell is indicated by blue arrows, the source of the southerly 13s by red ones. Can you see why the second energy is higher locally, despite the source being much smaller/weaker... less travel distance and obstructions. Tasman swell should improve in a couple of days, when the fetched moved SE of New Zealand.


North shore
NW101
5.2ft @ 10s from 348° (NNW)

Waimea

3.2ft @ 10s from 329° (NW)
2.7ft @ 11s from 332° (NNW)

NW energy coming down slowly, there should still be waves at Hookipa this morning, probably in the head high range.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):




South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.