Saturday, August 22, 2015

8 22 15 morning call

I'm back, so is the morning call.

Let's talk about Kilo right away. This morning the island woke up with lightning and thunder upcountry on the Haiku side of the Haleakala, but that cell seems to be moving offshore as the map below shows.

The latest prediction shows the storm getting stronger, but swinging wide. Even though the turn towards Kauai on Thursday still leaves some apprehension.


The wind map shows some fetches. One is to the WNW of us, out of typhoon off Japan. Usually those fetches are quite limited in size, but this one will move very slowly and that helps the formation of a distant WNW swell that will arrive together with the unsettled weather created by Kilo.
Too early for specifics.
Also notice a bit of a fetch down south that will send a south swell in a week. The fetch to the right (didn't circle that one), looks like it was in position to generate a swell for Tahiti (and Hawaii) so there's a good chance that the WSL competition will resume soon.
I watched the Medina - John John heat in the Sydney airport and almost lost my connection because of it. What a fantastic heat.

3.4ft @ 7s from 66° (ENE)
2.5ft @ 9s from 48° (NE)
2.4ft @ 5s from 68° (ENE)
1.8ft @ 11s from 72° (ENE)

2.2ft @ 14s from 211° (SW)
1.5ft @ 6s from 140° (SE)
1.4ft @ 9s from 231° (WSW)
1.3ft @ 12s from 230° (SW)

It's pretty clear that the south shore is your best bet for surfing today, even though the Lahaina webcam shows minimal energy.

The windguru table below shows some trades for today, but with a downward trend. Also notice how cloudy the next 10 days are going to be.


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