Saturday, July 16, 2022

Saturday 7 16 22 morning call

Hookipa yesterday.


4am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.

South shore
Lanai

  • 2.9ft
    , 20s, SSW 195º
  • 1.7ft
    , 14s, SSE 165º
  • 1.6ft
    , 11s, S 170º

Barbers

  • 2.2ft
    , 20s, SSW 195º
  • 1.7ft
    , 14s, S 185º

SE

  • 11.9ft
    , 10s, E 90º
  • 3.7ft
    , 19s, S 170º

Mega south swell is at the moment well below the Surfline prediction that was calling for 3.3ft 21s at 3am. We'll see what happens during the day, as the graph clearly shows that it should pick up during the afternoon and evening. The SE buoy is getting hit by the Darby easterly swell, but none of that will hit Maui (except some energy in Hana).


I was asked to talk about the spots that will hold the size of the mega swell, so here we go.
Starting from the Makena side, the usual La Perouse and Dumps will have some serious bombs. The Kihei coast might offer some gems. Direction is not ideal for Maalaea and McGregor, but there should be some waves there too. Possible third reef breakers at Grandma's, but between that and Lahaina it should be all closeouts until we get to Breakwall and Mala (this last one being the one I would choose, if it wasn't for the massive crowd that will certainly show up). The Kaanapali coast should get some wrap too, but I'm not an expert of those spots at all. In the end, as usual, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore

Mokapu

  • 6.4ft
    , 7s, E 85º

Windswell only on the north shore, home guess for Hookipa is waist to belly high, bigger on eastern exposures.

Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here.



Fetches map 
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: possibly over the ice sheet) from Windy.

North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific 
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.

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