Wednesday, November 05, 2014

11 5 14 morning call

4am main swell buoy readings:

12.6ft @ 10s from 10° (N)

Maui north shore
4.7ft @ 9s from 64° (ENE)
4.6ft @ 13s from 327° (NW)

West lanai
1.6ft @ 13s from 222° (SW)
1.3ft @ 16s from 210° (SSW)
1.3ft @ 10s from 220° (SW)

Thank god the NW buoy is back just in time for the winter. That is a key buoy because it's the first one to be hit by the NW swells. Travelling time varies with the period, here's a article that can help you calculate that. For Maui add 2 to 5 h depending on the period.

The 12.6f 10s from 10 reading doesn't make too much sense to me, so we'll focus on the maui reading. 4.6f 13s means that there will be waves for the PWA finals at the windsurfing contest at Hookipa. The waves will not be as good as the 16s ones that the AWT Amateurs had the luxury to ride yesterday, but they might have a bit more wind.
They only need a couple of hours to complete the double eliminations (men and women) of their extremely time consuming system, and then there should be time for more AWT categories. There's still women, youth, masters and grand masters to run and not all of them will have the chance to compete.

The wind forecast looks pretty bad for the rest of the contest period in fact. There's hope for tomorrow if it's sunny (like it was yesterday) or for the last day (Nov 11), with a wave forecast of 8f 12s. I'll take it.

Here's the wind map for today.
Notice the big fetch NW of Hawaii and just south of the Kuril islands that will be the swell factory for all next week. Notice also the typhoon in the lower left corner. That will pass just east of Japan and will reinforce that fetch for more massive swell production.

Today I'm up early, so expect a photo from Hookipa at first light.

Have fun in the sun everyone!

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