Wednesday, March 08, 2017

Wednesday 3 8 17 morning call

Double Honolua session for me, first one a lot better than the second. That should be no surprise for whoever followed the "all the Bay minute by minute" beach updates yesterday morning.

The new camera should have arrived, I just need to find the time to go get it. In the meantime, these might well be the last shots ever taken by the old one.

Couple of gopro shots foor good measure.

I tried to hold rail through that section, but I didn't make it.

5am significant buoy readings
South shore

2ft @ 8s from 251° (WSW)
1.9ft @ 12s from 257° (WSW)
1.2ft @ 16s from 209° (SSW)
With readings like these, I don't even try to guess the size of the waves on the south shore. Fortunately there is no need. There's webcams.
North shore
13.0ft @ 14s from 335° (NNW)
5.7ft @ 12s from 326° (NW)
3.5ft @ 9s from 322° (NW)
3.7ft @ 13s from 350° (N)
3.2ft @ 9s from 7° (N)
Solid reading at the NW101 buoy, it announces the arrival of the new big swell. Let's try to find out when by analyzing the graphs of the three reported buoys below. Not an easy analysis btw, lots of energies in the water. I put a red arrow where it seems that the NW101 buoy went back up. I put another one, where Waimea seems to have starting going up again. And I drew a blue dotted line to try to predict what's gonna happen at Pauwela's, based on those arrows and on the Surfline forecast. NOAA's ww3 model instead, only proposes the start of this swell with 3f 15s at 8pm, so later than that.

Either way, this morning it should be a manageable size at Hookipa and the increase should be more visible at sunset.

Don't expect anything particularly clean though, still lots of directions at Pauwela. And still a big gap between the highest energy on this graph (from 320-325) and the one reported by the buoy (350).

NAM3km map at 2pm shows light onshores.

Fortunately, the 6am wind reading is for 3 mph offshore.

The clouds that brought the rain yesterday evening seemed to have passed, but the air is still quite unstable (raining as I type).

In fact, the indication on the Windguru table is for more rain and clouds tonight and tomorrow all day. I'm sure the wind addicted will notice the return of the trades for Thursday/Friday next week.

Current wind map shows:
1) distant west fetch
2) fetch responsible for next swell now getting a little weaker, but still making waves for us
3) windswell fetch
4) small fetch down under

PS. I just received an email that announced that:
HSA Legends of the Bay is ON for this Thursday 3/9/17! Open Men check in before 7:00am, Legends before 12noon.

PPS. I just received another email that announced that:
Running from the 10th - 12th March, the Maui Pro-Am will feature two racing disciplines as part of the Racing Season on the 2017 APP World Tour:

  1. Surf Sprints: the dramatic venue of Ho'okipa Beach Park delivered one of the most exciting racing spectacles the sport has ever seen last October as the World's best stepped up for a battle to remember. This year, an extremely promising surf forecast bodes well for equally spectacular action, as tension mounts for what will be a dramatic start to the 2017 season. The APP World Tour Surf Sprints will be broadcast LIVE this year starting at 11am HST / 1pm PST on Saturday 11th March at
  2. Long Distance: originally planned as the iconic and world famous Maliko to Kanaha Downwind Run, due to the forecast light and variable winds, organizers are already formulating and will post an alternative course for this weekend's long distance race should this wind pattern remain through the weekend as predicted. This new course format will provide plenty of excitement for participants and spectators alike and will establish Kanaha Beach Park as the focus for all race activity and entertainment for Sunday 12th March. The final decision regarding the course to be taken over the next few days as the forecast develops. Stay tuned for updates on this at and across our social media channels at #appworldtour.

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