Wednesday, April 20, 2016

4 20 16 morning call

The action shots from yesterday were already posted in the 8.30am update, so scroll down if you want to see the wave size in the morning. At sunset it looked a bit bigger, but definitely not due to the fore runners of the WNW swell. It was cloudy, onshore and cold, but there were some clean faces.

Significant buoy readings 5am
7.6ft @ 16s from 301° (WNW)

5.3ft @ 17s from 312° (NW)
4.1ft @ 7s from 23° (NNE)
5.3ft @ 17s from 289° (WNW)
4.4ft @ 8s from 47° (NE)
3.4ft @ 12s from 71° (ENE)
1.8ft @ 18s from 294° (WNW)
1.4ft @ 13s from 191° (SSW)
The NW and Waimea graphs are below. Last readings are 5am, don't be fooled by the wrong placement on the time line.
300 degrees is not a good direction for Maui. The only place with significant wave size will be Hookipa, even though I did see a couple of sets on the webcam at Kanaha. The wind is on it already.
Surfline forecasts the swell to pick up a couple of feet during the day and peak at 8pm at 7.5f 15s from 315 (that's after the refraction on the upstream islands).
I was hoping the swell would be west enough to hit the Kihei coast, but judging from the shore break (or lack of there of) in the bottom cam, I don't think there's much down there. I was also hoping that those 1.4f 13s from 191 at the Lanai buoy would do something a little bigger than what the webcam in Lahaina shows (top right).
I guess I'll stay on the windy north shore.
MC2km map at noon shows the wind that it shows.
Wind map shows that yesterday's good NW fetch has already moved east a lot and is now aiming at the mainland west coast and not doing much for us anymore. Nonetheless, yesterday's wave generation will send a reinforcement to the current swell on Friday.
A few days ago I said that there's not gonna be much on the north shore after I leave on Sunday. I take that back. The models changed and now there's a bunch of fun size NW swells lined up every other 3-4 days.
South shore will have some action too starting this Friday. Today's a good fetch (mark your calendar in a week), but tomorrow should be aiming elsewhere already.

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