Monday, December 16, 2019

Monday 12 16 19 morning call

This year's WSL world title race is extremely exciting, as Italo Ferreira and Gabriel Medina can possibly battle it out face to face all the way into the Pipe final (if they get there). Medina has the added difficulty to have John John Florence in his side of the board. The contest can possibly resume today (see buoys discussion). Meanwhile, the lineup at Pipe has probably been the toughest ever, with all the pro's practicing. According to Liquid Barrel, Italo has been on fire. I hope he wins, just to see how wildly entertaining his celebration will be.


My pick of Jimmie Hepp's album of yesterday's windsurfing action at Hookipa.


4am significant buoy readings and discussion
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam.

North shore
NW101
3.1ft @ 18s from 322° (NW)

Waimea
3.6ft @ 11s from 343° (NNW)
2.9ft @ 9s from 27° (NNE)

Pauwela
4.9ft @ 9s from 64° (ENE)
4.1ft @ 11s from 349° (NNW)
 
Below are the graphs of NW and Pauwela and the Surfline Maui forecast. Circled in red on the first one is the rise of the new long period NW swell, which reached 2ft 20s at midnight. GP's rule of thumb says 14h @ 20s, so the equivalent energy should be here around noon (3 hours earlier in Oahu) and the swell should be steadily rising all afternoon (red dotted line on Pauwela's graph). The related orange line on the Surfline forecast seems to be a bit late again, but notice instead how perfectly the two lines (blue and fuchsia) representing the current swells predicted the reality on the Pauwela graph.

Let's talk a bit about those, with 5ft 9s from 64 and 4ft 11s from 349 and some wind, Hookipa will have at least head high waves of relatively poor shape to start the day with.


Wind map at noon
       

     
Kahului Tides
High Tide     High Tide     Low Tide     Low Tide       Sunrise   Sunset
5:54a  +2.6   4:38p  +1.0   1:19p  +0.8  10:48p  +0.1    6:57a   5:49p   

North Pacific has a strong NW fetch (8.4ft 15s from 323 on Thursday night) and a remote easterly windswell fetch.


Nothing from the south.


Morning sky.

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