Monday, May 31, 2021

9.30am

Picking up a bit more, but the wind picked up too. 
4.7

8am

Hookipa has very clean inconsistent sets up to head high. 
7

Monday 5 31 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday at sunset had inconsistent sets up to shoulder high.


5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.2ft @ 20s from 201° (SSW)

Lanai

2.1ft @ 14s from 189° (S)

The Lanai reading is good, the Barbers one is promising, but what counts more is what the webcam shows, so check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
NW001
4.3ft @ 12s from 325° (NW)

Hanalei
2.5ft @ 13s from 316° (NW)

Waimea
2.4ft @ 13s from 325° (NW)

Pauwela

3ft @ 8s from 83° (E)
1.8ft @ 13s from 329° (NW)

"New NW swell on the rise all day" I wrote yesterday. It should have been "New NW swell on the extremely slow rise all day". The same slow rise will continue today. Below are the maps of May 26 through 31 that show the fetch that was never particularly intense nor perfectly oriented towards us, but it had some decent moments (for this time of the year, at least) towards the end of the period.


Consequently, the swell will be bigger on Tuesday/Wednesday. Below are the graphs of NW001 and Pauwela together with the Surfline forecast. Home guess for Hookipa is for inconsistent sets up to possibly head high. No wind till around 10am.


Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.

Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Sunday, May 30, 2021

5.30am

Hookipa is flat 

Hookipa yesterday at sunset. I ended up paddling out at The Point with a friend and we had a magic sunset session with very small clean waves.

3am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
2.2ft @ 14s from 195° (SSW)
0.6ft @ 22s from 219° (SW)

Lanai

1.7ft @ 15s from 189° (S)

Small long period southerly energy continues at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW001
2.4ft @ 14s from 325° (NW)

Waimea
0.5ft @ 18s from 312° (NW)

Hanalei
0.7ft @ 16s from 324° (NW)

Pauwela

3ft @ 8s from 84° (E)
0.4ft @ 18s from 329° (NW)

New NW swell on the rise all day. The morning won't offer much (home guess for Hookipa is flat to waist), as the 18s readings at Pauwela and Waimea are tiny, while Hanalei and NW101 are already down to 16 and 14 seconds respectively. There should be sets at sunset. Bigger tomorrow and even bigger Tuesday (5.4ft 12s predicted by Surfline). We'll look at the fetch tomorrow. No wind all morning, as described by this NOAA page:

A front will approach from the northwest during the next couple days, bringing light and variable winds to the western islands, while light to moderate southeasterly winds prevail over the eastern end of the state. Trade winds will return from east to west across the island chain Monday night and Tuesday, and strengthen to moderate and locally strong levels Wednesday into next weekend.


Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).




Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Saturday, May 29, 2021

Saturday 5 29 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning. Photo by Patrick Wardle.


Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album. Btw, in case you wonder why the afternoon shots always show bigger waves, here's the two reasons:
1) the wind is stronger and the local windswell is bigger and adds up to the energy of eventual ground swells.
2) Jimmie shoots for hours and posts large albums, out which I tend to pick the photos that show the biggest waves.

4am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
2.4ft @ 14s from 177° (S)
0.2ft @ 25s from 209° (SSW)

Lanai

2.3ft @ 14s from 175° (S)

Below are the maps of May 22 through 25. The 22nd map shows a fetch just NE of New Zealand, probably responsible for the 14s energy at the buoys. Not a particularly powerful one, so to me the readings appear to be more than I would expect. More small scattered sources in the following days, so more small waves in the next few days.


Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. This set was pretty solid, but there's not many.


North shore
NW101
1.8ft @ 10s from 320° (NW)

Waimea

1.8ft @ 9s from 340° (NNW)
1.1ft @ 11s from 330° (NW)

Pauwela
3.3ft @ 8s from 72° (ENE)

NW energy disappeared at Pauwela and Hanalei and it's down to minimal values at NW and Waimea, so today it's going to be temporarily back to the easterly windswell only. Home guess for Hookipa is flat to belly high. Conditions should be glassy until the usual 9-10am.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.


Friday, May 28, 2021

8am

Hookipa is around head high and windy. 
4.5

Friday 5 28 21 morning call

Fun waves on the south shore also yesterday.


Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album.


5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.6ft @ 16s from 182° (S)

Lanai

1.7ft @ 13s from 189° (S)
1.5ft @ 16s from 191° (SSW)

Foot and a half 16s southerly energy at the buoys should provide the south shore with some fun waves also today. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
NW001
2ft @ 10s from 324° (NW)

Hanalei
2ft @ 11s from 327° (NW)

Waimea
2.4ft @ 12s from 329° (NW)

Pauwela

2.4ft @ 8s from 73° (ENE)
2.4ft @ 11s from 330° (NW)
2.2ft @ 9s from 332° (NNW)

NW swell peaked yesterday as clearly shown in the Pauwela graph below, presented together with yesterday's prediction and Surfline forecast. Still a couple of feet 10-12s at the upstream buoys, so we can expect that energy to be in the water all day today. It's going to be smaller than yesterday, home guess for Hookipa is for around head high.





Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Thursday, May 27, 2021

5.45am

I'm looking at a head high set at hookipa, but there wasn't much at all for 10 minutes, so still inconsistent. Very light trades.

Thursday 5 27 21 morning call

Fun waves on the Lahaina side yesterday.

3am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
2.4ft @ 14s from 232° (WSW)

Lanai

1.8ft @ 14s from 189° (S)

Southerly energy went down in size and period at Lanai (Barbers' direction probably influenced by the NW swell, so not reliable). There should still be fun size waves, but definitely smaller than yesterday. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.
First light observations actually show a lot smaller than yesterday.

North shore
NW101
5.1ft @ 12s from 337° (NNW)

Hanalei
2.4ft @ 13s from 319° (NW)

Waimea
1.8ft @ 14s from 325° (NW)

Pauwela

3.5ft @ 8s from 88° (E)
1.5ft @ 14s from 327° (NW)

New NW swell will be rising all day. Here's how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetch:
A low deepened and stalled just west of the Date Line on the Aleutians 5/21-22. It set up a long, wide fetch of near gales with small pockets to gales over the 320-340 degree band. Seas grew to near 20 feet at the peak on 5/23 with the head of the fetch about 1800 nm away. The system weakened sharply 5/24 as it moved east of the Date Line.

Below are the maps of May 21 through 24 that will help follow. The fetch actually never moved east of the date line, but it did get pretty weak on the 24th.


Below are the graphs of NW101 and Pauwela, together with the Surfline prediction. Home guess for Hookipa is for around chest to head high at sunrise and building throughout the day. Sunset should be pretty solid with 5ft 12s at the NW101 buoy.


Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Wednesday, May 26, 2021

Wednesday 5 26 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning.

5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
2.3ft @ 15s from 198° (SSW)

Lanai

2.3ft @ 17s from 188° (S)

Good size southerly energy at the buoys. Below are the maps of May 18 through 22 that show the fetch (that originated in the Tasman Sea) now to the east of New Zealand. Without having to find its way through the myriad of Polinesian islands (like a Tasman Sea swell), the consistency will be much greater, but still in relative terms. In fact, we're still talking about a 7 days trip, in which the sets have more time to separate from each other compared to a north swell generated in a place that only requires 3-4 days of travel, for example.


Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. Beautiful set at upper Breakwall.



North shore
Hanalei
2.1ft @ 11s from 316° (NW)

Waimea
1.5ft @ 11s from 307° (WNW)

Pauwela

3.4ft @ 9s from 77° (ENE)
1.5ft @ 4s from 82° (E)
1.2ft @ 12s from 324° (NW)

Tiny NW energy at the buoys, the dominant energy will still be the ENE windswell. Home guess for Hookipa is around waist to chest high with possible bigger sets.


Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.




Tuesday, May 25, 2021

7am

Hookipa has waist to chest high windswell waves with the very occasional leftover nw set up to shoulder high. Bit of texture. 
4

Tuesday 5 25 morning call

Fun waves yesterday at Hookipa. North shore is far from dead, there's more swells in the near future.



4am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
2.1ft @ 17s from 206° (SSW)

Lanai

1.9ft @ 17s from 199° (SSW)

Nice long period SSW energy at the buoys, but bemember that Tasman Sea swells are inconsistent by nature and this one is no exception. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
Hanalei
0.9ft @ 14s from 315° (NW)

Pauwela
4.5ft @ 9s from 65° (ENE)

NW energy disappeared at all buoys but Hanalei, today it should be again mostly about the ENE windswell. Home guess for Hookipa is around chest high, with possible bigger ones. No wind until around 9-10am. Extreme low tide at 7.19am.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.

Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.