Monday, May 10, 2021

6am

Hookipa is mostly head high with occasional bigger sets up to head and a half, but also flat/small spells. Some texture and relatively poor shape due to the windswell in the water. 
4

Monday 5 10 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album.

2-3am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

2.4ft @ 13s from 262° (W)
1.9ft @ 15s from 194° (SSW)
0.7ft @ 20s from 195° (SSW)

Lanai

1.7ft @ 11s from 252° (WSW)
1.7ft @ 15s from 185° (S)

Nice readings at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW101
5.5ft @ 10s from 333° (NNW)

NW001
3.4ft @ 11s from 303° (WNW)

Hanalei
3.8ft @ 11s from 321° (NW)

Waimea
4.5ft @ 12s from 323° (NW)

Pauwela

5.3ft @ 12s from 332° (NNW)
3.8ft @ 8s from 73° (ENE)

The NW swell peaked during the night, but it should still provide Hookipa with overhead waves all day. Below are the graphs of Pauwela together with yesterday's prediction and Surfline's forecast.




Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Sunday, May 09, 2021

8am

Hookipa is waist to chest and relatively clean as the trades are still light at the moment. Didn't see any nw sets, but I didn't wait long. 
3.5

Sunday 5 9 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning.

5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

2.5ft @ 13s from 197° (SSW)
1.5ft @ 16s from 189° (S)

Lanai

2.1ft @ 13s from 193° (SSW)
1.3ft @ 16s from 184° (S)

Samoa

13.7ft @ 11s from 156° (SSE)
4.2ft @ 15s from 183° (S)

Nice mix of 13s and 16s energies at the buoys. I also reported the readings of Samoa, as they show nice 15s energy directed towards us plus a massive SSE windswell event (which will mostly miss us instead). Travel time from it to us (4 days at 15s) is in the Buoys to Maui travel times and Maui's shadow lines post.
Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. That's a lovely head high set at the Breakwall.



North shore
NW001
5.9ft @ 13s from 313° (NW)

Hanalei
2.6ft @ 13s from 318° (NW)

Waimea
1.6ft @ 14s from 312° (NW)

Pauwela

4.7ft @ 8s from 62° (ENE)
2.7ft @ 6s from 64° (ENE)
0.7ft @ 15s from 324° (NW)

New medium period and size NW swell on the rise all day. This is how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetch:

With the peak winds in the source only marginal gales over its long haul from the Kuril Islands to the central/eastern Aleutians 5/2-7, one has to look for the closest position to Hawaii to serve as the dominant indicator. That happened Thursday 5/6 in the early morning about 1200 nm out over the 320-340 degree band. This energy should rise above the May average in the late morning, peak Sunday night, then slowly drop into Tuesday from the same direction. There should be additional low energy spread within 305-350 degrees 5/9-11.

A weaker, more compact source has formed just west of the Date Line near 45N (1800 nm away) early Friday 5/7. It is modelled to place strong breezes with pockets to near gale about 1200 nm away from Hawaii mid to late Saturday. It is modelled to weaken sharply Saturday night. This weak source should reinforce the declining event Tuesday so surf stays about the same 5/11 from 320-340 degrees. It should drop to within tiny to small levels by Wednesday 5/12 from 320-350 degrees.

Below are the maps of May 4 through 8 that will help follow:


Below are the graphs of NW001 and Pauwela, together with the Surfline forecast that, for a change, doesn't seem to be late in this case. It might be a bit conservative though, I bet it will go up to 4-4.5ft 13s locally, but possibly during the night. Not much of it will be noticeable in the early morning though, so home guess for Hookipa is for a waist to chest high windswell peaks, with the NW sets getting progressively bigger as the day progresses. Should get overhead sometimes in the afternoon, for sure at sunset.
Oh, I finally changed the batteries of the wind meter on top of the house, so its indication on the right column is now current. As usual, disregard the peak speed and focus on the average and gust speeds. Direction is indicated by the letters at the bottom. It's not particularly well framed, but that's the best it fits in there.


Outside Sunset Beach on Oahu is already occasionally overhead, and that's good sign.



Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.

Saturday, May 08, 2021

7.30am

Hookipa has waist to occasionally chest high windswell and light trades. 
2.7

Saturday 5 8 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning. That's why I don't surf Pavillions.

5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

1ft @ 15s from 196° (SSW)
0.5ft @ 20s from 191° (SSW)

Lanai

1.1ft @ 15s from 194° (SSW)

Below are the maps of April 30 through May 2nd showing the possible source of the small 15s energy at the buoys. Here's how Pat Caldwell described it:
A compact, low-end gale in the subtropics ENE of New Zealand 5/1-2 had the head of the fetch about 3000 nm away. This size fetch of marginal magnitude would be a write-off if it was deeper in the mid latitudes. But since it nosed into the tropics, it has better odds. It should turn the surf up a notch on Saturday 5/8 from 180-195 degrees and drop Sunday peaking near average. PacIOOS/CDIP American Samoa buoy did show swell within 5-8’@10-14s 5/4. But as mentioned, shorter-period swell lose size much more rapidly with travel distance (due to greater angular spreading). Thus, still not that much surf for Hawaii, but clearly anything could top what’s out there now, so an improvement.


So, nothing to lose sleep on, and the webcam confirms that. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
Pauwela

5.6ft @ 8s from 73° (ENE)
3.4ft @ 5s from 81° (E)
1.7ft @ 12s from 351° (N)

ENE windswell continues to be the dominant energy in the water, I don't think the small 12s N energy will do much. Home guess for Hookipa is waist to chest high. Tomorrow a new medium period and size NW swell should arrive.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Friday, May 07, 2021

8.30am

Hookipa has waist to occasionally chest high short period waves at pavilions and the point with moderate trades. 
2

Friday 5 7 21 morning call

No photos from yesterday. Robby Naish posted this cool shot of him riding a SUP board with the wing. The one time I tried that, it was immediately clear to me that a windsurf sail would have been a lot better to slog and to stay upwind, so I proceeded to install a couple of stick-on inserts on the deck in order to be able to attach a mast foot. I only had a chance to do one session with that setup on the waves before my hands demanded the period of total rest that it's still ongoing.

I can confirm that the slogging part was a lot better than with the wing. On the wave, I couldn't ride as freely as Robby in this shot, but overall it felt like a better option. Slogging with the wing was  inefficient and unpleasent, the wing makes sense if you're foiling (or if the wind is strong and you can plane on a much smaller board than a SUP). That's my feedback, at least.

5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.2ft @ 12s from 193° (SSW)

Lanai

0.8ft @ 12s from 197° (SSW)

Tiny southerly energy at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.




North shore
Pauwela
6.2ft @ 8s from 61° (ENE)

Short period ENE energy went up at Pauwela, home guess for Hookipa and eastern exposures is belly to head high.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.


Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Thursday, May 06, 2021

Thursday 5 6 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album.


5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.5ft @ 13s from 197° (SSW)

Lanai

1.4ft @ 13s from 184° (S)

Small southerly energy at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. Small and onshore this morning.


North shore
Pauwela

4.3ft @ 8s from 29° (NNE)
1.9ft @ 6s from 71° (ENE)

Small northerly windswell at Pauwela should give Hookipa (and eastern exposures) waves in the waist to shoulder high range.

Let me point out a flash flood watch posted on this page:
Deep tropical moisture combined with increasing instability associated with an upper disturbance moving into the area will bring the threat of locally heavy rainfall and thunderstorms statewide.

Windguru shows heavy rain tonight at 5pm. And a hell lot of wind in the next 10 days.



Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Wednesday 5 5 21 morning call

No photos from yesterday. This is one by Ben Thouard.

6am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.7ft @ 13s from 184° (S)

Lanai

1.5ft @ 13s from 195° (SSW)

Small southerly energy at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
Waimea
2.1ft @ 10s from 321° (NW)

Pauwela

3.1ft @ 8s from 62° (ENE)
2.1ft @ 11s from 328° (NW)

Very low energy at Pauwela. Home guess for Hookipa is waist to chest with flat spells.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Tuesday 5 4 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album.


6am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
NW001
2.8ft @ 11s from 310° (WNW)

Waimea

3.4ft @ 13s from 320° (NW)
2.5ft @ 10s from 323° (NW)

Pauwela

4.2ft @ 9s from 71° (ENE)
3.3ft @ 12s from 314° (NW)

NW energy still at 3.3ft 12s at Pauwela will give Hookipa waves in the head high range. A morning of calm wind will make the conditions very good, possibly excellent.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.