Saturday, January 25, 2020

Saturday 1 25 20 morning call

Thanks to blog reader Jeff for his donation.

This is Billy Kemper's incredible barrel at Jaws two days ago. A ride that will earn him some price money of some sort, for sure.


Hookipa had good size waves during the day yesterday, this is my pick of Jimmie Hepp's album.


I took this one at sunset. Conditions weren't particularly clean because of the light onshore that picked up in the afternoon.



4am significant buoy readings and discussion
South shore
No southerly energy at Barbers, check the Lahaina webcam.

North shore
NW001
14.3ft @ 17s from 324° (NW)
4.3ft @ 10s from 326° (NW)

Waimea
5.5ft @ 12s from 320° (NW)
2.7ft @ 20s from 313° (NW)

Pauwela
4.9ft @ 13s from 323° (NW)            
2.6ft @ 9s from 346° (NNW)
2.3ft @ 11s from 329° (NW)
1.1ft @ 22s from 311° (NW)

New long period XL swell on the rise all day today, while the previous one is on the decline with still almost 5ft 13s at 4am. Plenty waves on offer, Hookipa will be surfable in the morning (still overhead) and possibly getting too big (and windy) to surf in the afternoon, but might epic windsurfing for the pros. Let's see how Pat Caldwell describes the evolution of the fetch:

Another winter-caliber low pressure formed east of the Kuril Islands 1/20 and deepened to storm- to hurricane-force winds well west of the Date Line 1/21-22. The system occluded 1/22 as it stalled near the Date Line. A long, wide fetch from Asia to within 1200 nm of Hawaii set up 1/22-23 centered within 310-320 degrees. Gales also covered the 290-310 and 320-330 degree bands. The result will be another round with a wide swell directional swath arriving in Hawaii. The low centered weakened and moved westward near 50N west of the Date Line 1/24.

JASON satellite 1/23 showed seas within 22-27' about 1000 nm away from Hawaii. The ASCAT satellite showed a wide fetch of near gales to low end gales 1/22-23 with 30-40N from the Date Line east to north of Hawaii, that should add ample short- to moderate period surf over the weekend.
The end result is going to be a wide wave period band, or broad- banded spectral energy for the upcoming event 1/25, with active waves in the 12-20s bands arriving simultaneously. In addition to the wide directional spread, should make for less regular breaking patterns.

Below is the collage of the maps of Jan 21, 22, 23 and 24.


These are the graphs of NW001 and Pauwela together with the Surfline forecast, which, once again, seems to be a bit late. The best waves at the Legend of the Bay contest will be in the late afternoon, just in time for the open men final. The morning should be fairly small, with mostly the leftover of the previous swell.


Wind map at noon. It will get windier after that and this marks the end of those fabulous 4 days of light wind we just had. Jan 23 best day of the year so far without a doubt.
             

Kahului Tides
High Tide     High Tide     Low Tide     Low Tide       Sunrise   Sunset
3:27a  +2.7   2:29p  +1.3  10:01a  +0.6   8:39p  -0.4    7:06a   6:14p


North Pacific has a new WNW fetch. 8.7ft 15s from 311 predicted by Surfline on Wednesday night.


Tino's remnants not offering much anymore.


Morning sky.

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