Monday, May 09, 2016

5 9 16 morning call

The call for the next few days will be a little more difficult than usual for me, because while in Bali I didn't check/save the north and south Pacific weather maps, but the buoys should tell us enough.

Clearly no action shots from yesterday, I only quick looked at Hookipa at sunset and, even though lacking shape, it had some size (looked overhead) and no wind on it. Looked kinda fun, actually, but today there should be more wind, unfortunately.
From the plane, I also saw waves on the Lahaina side.

Significant buoys readings 4am
NW
7.7ft @ 10s from 22° (NNE)

N
4.9ft @ 11s from 345° (NNW)
4.9ft @ 9s from 342° (NNW)

Pauwela
4.5ft @ 9s from 23° (NNE)           
3.8ft @ 6s from 49° (NE)
2.8ft @ 11s from 348° (NNW)

Lanai
3.2ft @ 14s from 194° (SSW)
 
It's very good to have the Pauwela buoy back online, it shows short/medium period energy from NNE and NNW and that, together with northerly wind, will create confused breakers on the north shore.

Should be a lot cleaner on the south shore if you can find spots not affected by the north wind which likes to wrap around the Lahaina coast. 3f 14s from 194 should make for fun size waves, probably belly to shoulder high with occasional head high ones, depending on the spot.
 
Nice improvement on the Windity website that now offers also a graphical representation of the NAM model that has a resolution of 3km, versus the GFS that only has 13km. That makes for a much better alternative to the MC2km maps (based on the WRF model with a resolution of 2km) when this last ones are not available. That is going to be the case for most of the summer, since the sun comes out earlier than winter and I'll be hitting the road well before Woody goes to work.

Below is the 6am map. Won't change much during the day, so with that direction your best chance of windsurfing is going to be north Kihei. Plenty clouds and rain though, so maybe not a good idea anyway.
 
If you go surfing Lahaina side, watch out on that negative tide at 10.14am.
 
Wind map shows a nice NW fetch that unfortunately is not going to last long, but it will manage to send a 3f 11s swell from 321 for Wednesday/Thursday. The N fetch will add more short period energy in the next few days, with Surfline actually calling for a bump up to 6f 10s from 348 for tomorrow.
 
Down south a fairly strong fetch is oriented towards South America, we'll be lucky to get a bit of angular spreading in a week.
 
I'm hitting the road early, stay tuned for an update from somewhere on the south shore.
 

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