Monday, October 28, 2019

Monday 10 28 19 morning call

Great conditions for the start of the Aloha Classic. My pick of Jimmie Hepp's album: Tatiana Howard.


My pick of FishBowlDiaries album: coworker Russ Faurot. I told him he better make his heat or else he would be back to work. It worked.


My pick of IWT's album: Kai Lenny. He'll be one to watch today. He's in the first and very stacked up heat of the day together with Thomas Traversa, Alex Mussolini and Diony Guadagnino. Heats ladder on this page.


3am significant buoy readings and discussion
South shore
The buoys are registering only the wrapping NW energy (which won't show anywhere on the south shore), so there's no way to know how much S energy is in the water today. We can only use the fetch maps (of which I posted a collage yesterday), according to which there should be a tiny bit of something to keep it from going completely flat. But if the sun is out, don't even waste the time to check it, just go to the Lahaina webcam and see.

North shore
NW101
9.4ft @ 16s from 309° (WNW)

Waimea
6.5ft @ 15s from 315° (NW)

Pauwela
5ft @ 17s from 323° (NW)
3.1ft @ 9s from 21° (NNE)

Below is the graph of the three reported buoys that shows the swell peaking around 8pm at the NW buoy. 10ft over there, 6+ at Waimea and 5 and Pauwela is a pretty classic decrease of energy due to two factors:
1) travel
2) WNW original direction.

Overall, at the moment the swell is still of a very manageable size locally. That is a good thing for the contest, as the wind is going to be pretty light and tomorrow will probably be even lighter (or at least turning more and more offshore, so very questionable). Good news also for the surfers, as Hookipa will be surfable in the morning. 


The picture below shows an extremely long front which is approaching the islands and is the reason for the trades direction to go more and more to the east and then SE.


Wind map at noon.


The low that originally produced the current swell is now well behind the Kurils and the only "usable" fetch is now aiming well NE of us. We might still get some angular spreading. But notice the well extended windswell fetch NE of us. The related NE energy will provide fun size waves (with great wind conditions) for the second half of the week.


South Pacific has a small, but nice and well positioned S fetch.


Morning sky.

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