Saturday, April 04, 2020

Saturday 4 4 20 morning call

Didn't take any photos yesterday, here's one of those incredible shots by Ben Thouard.


I found out that Youtube can add computer generated captions to any video. This is a funny collection of mistakes out of my last one of the Corona Virus vlogs series, which can all be accessed by clicking on the label Covid-19 Surfing vlogs. Didn't know there were waves in Louisville. Didn't know I was racist either.



5am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.6ft @ 12s from 177° (S)
1.5ft @ 15s from 196° (SSW)

Lanai
2.2ft @ 13s from 177° (S)

Still 2.2ft 13s at Lanai, this fourth swell of the series is lasting a lot longer than I thought. We can say that now there have been waves for two weeks in a row on the south shores. The 1.5ft 15s reading at Barbers might make you think that there's a new one on the rise, but that could also be the new NW energy wrap. If it isn't, soon Lanai should show it too, and it would be another swell that I can't identify the source. In the end, as usual, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. Here's a nice set at the Breakwall.


North shore
NW101
7.6ft @ 13s from 315° (NW)

Hanalei
2.6ft @ 14s from 333° (NNW)

Waimea
1ft @ 15s from 325° (NW)

Pauwela
4.6ft @ 9s from 73° (ENE)
1.7ft @ 11s from 27° (NNE)

After a long time of only NE to E energy, today we will see the rise of a new long period NW swell. Here's a brief description of the source by Pat Caldwell:
A low pressure occluded near 40N, 168W 4/1-2. ASCAT satellite showed gales aimed best at Hawaii over the 325-330 degree band 4/1 daytime. The gales began aiming more north to south along 170W at targets well west of Hawaii by the Wednesday night ASCAT pass. A much larger area of near gales also aims meridionally. The fetch at Hawaii over the 315-330 degree band is short 4/2 and mostly marginal to sub gale.
The initial evolution of the wind field 4/1 into 4/2 should bring in the highest surf. It is predicted to climb locally late morning Saturday 4/4 from 320-340 degrees, peak Saturday night, then steadily decline Sunday 4/5 from the same direction.

Below is the collage of the maps of April 1, 2 and 3 that show that the best day of wave generation was the 2nd (maps are sampled at midnight of the day before, so midnight of the 1st).


Below are the graphs of NW, Waimea, and Pauwela together with Surfline forecast, which, as usual, appears to be around 12 hours late. The red dotted line is my prediction of how the swell will pick up locally. One thing for sure, with 7.5ft 13s at the NW buoy, the size at sunset tonight and tomorrow morning will be pretty solid. As far as the early morning of today instead, there's always the easterly windswell. I surfed Hookipa yesterday at sunset and there were some occasional head high sets!


Wind map at noon (the other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column).


North Pacific fetches map (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner):
small scattered fetches today.


South Pacific fetches map (about 7 days travel time from east of New Zealand):
That small south fetch connects two much larger ones which, unfortunately, are aiming too much to our west and to our east.


Morning sky.

No comments: