Friday 11 27 20 morning call

Thanks to blog reader Micheal for the donation.

Photo of Hookipa yesterday morning.

Big (actually XL) NW swell n.3 I mentioned yesterday is now on the long term Surfline forecast, here's how different the first half of December is going to look compared to the actual conditions:
Wed 12/2: 15ft 16s from 326
Tue 12/8: 15ft 16s from 321
Sat 12/12: 14ft 16s from 321

Unfortunately that means the vast majority of the north shore spots will be unsurfable in the peak days of those long lasting swells. The WSL ladies at Honolua (Dec 4-15) will have plenty size to deal with, while the mens at Pipe (Dec 8 to 20) will have to pick the smaller days to run the comp. But in my opinion the show might end up being stolen by the tow surfing at the outer reefs (particularly Jaws). In anticipation of the flooding of big waves shots we'll probably get on the social medias in those days, here's Dave Kalama in a photo by Darrel Wong.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
0.9ft @ 13s from 183° (S)

Lanai
1.5ft @ 12s from 180° (S)

Very small southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW

Waimea

2.2ft @ 11s from 329° (NW)

0.9ft @ 16s from 333° (NNW)

Mokapu
4.1ft @ 9s from 81° (E)

New small NW pulse is showing at Waimea, but not at the less sensitive (because more exposed to the other energies) NW buoys and that's not a good sign of a healthy swell. In Pat Caldwell's description of the evolution of the fetches I posted yesterday, there was this sentence:
There could be some addition longer period energy of 14-18s though of lower height out of 340-360 degrees, via angular spreading from the hurricane-force winds that formed just east of the Hawaii swell window 11/23.
Wonderful call bu uncle Pat, but nonetheless overall the waves are going to be fairly small today at Hookipa and on the whole north shore.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).

Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):

South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):

Morning sky.