Thursday, November 19, 2020

Thursday 11 19 20 morning call

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Two backhand wraps to illustrate the waves at Hookipa yesterday morning.


Every time I paddle out after having posted a beach report, I question it. Sometimes, I find it slightly different than what it looked from the shore, some other times I find it VERY different and some other times, by the time I paddled out, the conditions have changed already.
Yesterday instead was one of those days in which I think I nailed it perfectly:
"Hookipa has sloppy head to head and a third high waves with relatively clean faces. High tide doesn't help. 5"
The only way that report could have been more accurate would have been with a mention the very occasional head and a half sets... but I didn't see any while I was watching. Btw, I had a wave that was an 8, but that didn't change the fact that overall for me it was a 5.
Please keep in mind that the beach reports are subjective and that the conditions at Hookipa usually change by the minute.

4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.2ft @ 13s from 182° (S)

Lanai

1.2ft @ 12s from 190° (S)
0.8ft @ 15s from 185° (S)

Unidentified sources for the small southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency. Going to guess that instead there's not much at all.

North shore
NW001
7.4ft @ 15s from 337° (NNW)

N
3.6ft @ 10s from 1° (N)

Waimea
2.7ft @ 16s from 321° (NW)

Mokapu
5.7ft @ 9s from 18° (NNE)

Hilo
6.8ft @ 8s from 68° (ENE)

New long period NW swell picked up pretty solidly at the NW buoys and should be filling in steadily throughout all day. Below are the graphs of the NW001 and Waimea buoys together with the Surfline forecast, which, in this case, seems not only late, but also under estimating. It seems to me that by sunset time there might already 4-5 ft 15s or more, we'll see.


The fetch (n.2) was indeed pretty solid (specially on the 15th), as shown in the collage of the maps of Nov 13 to 16, already posted a couple of days ago and below reported again for your convenience.

Let's not forget about the shorter period NNE to ENE energy recorded by Mokapu and Hilo, which will probably still be the predominant one at dawn.
Without the Pauwela buoy, it's really hard to guess the size of the waves at Hookipa. Based on all the above considerations, I'm gonna call head high with possible inconsistent head and a half sets, but the beach report will be more precise.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.



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