Friday, June 16, 2017

Friday 6 16 17 morning call

Rest day for me yesterday, as it will be today (I'm in the middle of a liver flush). This is an image from kite beach by Jimmie Hepp from this gallery.

5am significant buoy readings
South shore

2.3ft @ 11s from 126° (ESE)

2.5ft @ 12s from 147° (SE)                      
0.8ft @ 17s from 51° (ENE)

2.9ft @ 11s from 122° (ESE)                      
0.9ft @ 17s from 45° (NE)

In addition to the 11-12s background energy readings, the SW and SE buoys offer some very puzzling 17s period readings from the NE. I believe that might the energy of the new south swell starting to show with such inconsistent sets that the buoys can't detect its direction correctly. I even checked the past days fetches maps, but there has been absolutely nothing NE of us that would generate those 17s.

Also some of the more northerly buoys (check the North Shore section just below) show tiny long period readings, from all kind of directions. This would seem to confirm my theory. But I've also been watching the Lahaina webcam while writing this post and haven't seen any 17s sets (some nice 12s ones, though!). So I'm quite puzzled.

If my theory is right, those readings will become bigger in size, lower in period and start showing a more correct southerly direction in the rest of the day. We will see. Surfline's prediction is 1f 16s from 198 at 2pm slowly rising.

North shore
3.7ft @ 8s from 77° (ENE)
0.2ft @ 16s from 83° (E)

0.3ft @ 18s from 257° (WSW)

0.3ft @ 18s from 80° (E)

Only small windswell on the north shore, Hookipa is probably close to flat.

8am wind map

2pm wind map. For two consecutive days, this model shows more wind at 8am than at 2pm. Yesterday it was totally wrong about that. If it is also today, I might have to ditch it and go back to other poor alternatives. Maui County @ 2km, I miss you.

North Pacific still shows that weak NW fetch that actually got a little closer. The wind speed in it will be the limiting factor in the surf generation (specially the period). As you can see, it's only 25 knots. 3f 11s on Monday/Tuesday predicted by Surfline, with the swell picking up a bit already on Sunday afternoon.

South Pacific also still offers decently oriented fetches. This time the wind speed is a lot stronger, but the distance is twice as big.

That band of clouds is moving north, so it shouldn't influence us.

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