Thursday, February 07, 2019

Thursday 2 7 19 morning call

A longboard and a shortboard session for me yesterday. The day was characterized by the moderate Kona wind that I forgot to mention in the morning's call. The noon wind map gave a hint, but it was more the whole flow of each hour's map that made it clear. Anyone who is interested in what the wind will do during the day, should run the whole day of the maps linked at link n. -2 (click on Animation in the 10 Meter Wind column. They're not always correct, but they're the best prediction available at the current time.

Here's some shots I took during the day. Very little chance you're gonna guess this spot, as it rarely looks like this.

Mid afternoon's shot of the usual Browzinho at Lanes by Jimmie Hepp from this gallery.

Paige Alms enjoying a Backdoor looking The Point.

Iao Valley's spotlight. I thought Kai Lenny must be surfing down there...
4am significant buoy readings
South shore
3.2ft @ 14s from 279° (W)
More westerly energy at Lanai should make for more small waves in Kihei and possibly Ukumehame. No reports from yesterday.
North shore
7.4ft @ 14s from 323° (NW)
5.9ft @ 14s from 316° (NW)
5.3ft @ 15s from 330° (NW)
5.4ft @ 9s from 51° (ENE)
3.5ft @ 15s from 28° (NNE)
5.5ft @ 14s from 352° (N)
4.7ft @ 9s from 44° (NE)
Don't believe this morning's NOAA statement "Surf along north facing shores will be 7 to 10 feet today, rising to 20 to 30 feet Friday afternoon". I don't see that happening at all today and for sure not in Maui. The NW buoy, in fact, is still showing a solid number, but it's not the new (biggest of the series) NW swell, which Surfline only puts on Maui's forecacast (link n.15) tomorrow morning at 2.4ft 20s from 318.
So today we have what Pauwela indicates with light Kona winds in the morning and excellent conditions pretty much everywhere on the north shore (until it gets too strong). I will report from Hookipa before 7. Overhead and excellent is my guess from home. Enjoy today, as tomorrow will have onshore winds.

Also notice the 3.5ft 15s from 28 reading at Mokapu. That is probably in the water also in Maui, but Pauwela is more exposed to the NW energy and probably can't really detect it. That'll give the NNE exposure extra energy and it comes from that fetch indicated by the red arrow in the maps of Feb 3 and 4, conveniently collaged below.

Wind map at noon. The model predicts the Kona to get lighter after 3pm.
North Pacific has a decent NW fetch and a E windswell one. Also notice (small red arrows) the start of the counterclock circulation that will give life the low north of us that will heavily influence our weather in the next several days (at least 10).
South Pacific has a weak S fetch.
Morning sky.

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