Wednesday, October 27, 2021

Wednesday 10 27 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday. Photo by Jimmie Hepp from this album.


I got completely humiliated yesterday morning at Hookipa with a zero wave count (and a massive duck dive count). The last set I got caught by was called 8 feet by Charlie Smith. If you know what that means, you know it's big. I went straight to Paia Bay with one word in mind and I ended up catching a wave that I would rank among my top 10 waves ever there!


5-6am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.4ft @ 15s from 196° (SSW)

New small long period SSW energy at Barbers. Below are the maps of Oct 18 thorugh 22 that show the fetch that generated it. What we're getting is mostly thanks to the angular spreading.


Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.



North shore
NW101

3.6ft @ 10s from 7° (N)
2.9ft @ 8s from 73° (ENE)
2.2ft @ 14s from 328° (NW)

Hanalei

4.4ft @ 11s from 355° (N)
2.5ft @ 9s from 359° (N)
2.3ft @ 8s from 25° (NNE)
1.5ft @ 18s from 353° (N)

Waimea

4.1ft @ 13s from 359° (N)
3.6ft @ 10s from 356° (N)

Without Pauwela and with all these swells with bigger energy to our east, I've been doing the home guesses on the conservative side. Which is another way of saying that they were smaller than what it really was. One thing for sure: no shortage of waves on the north shore any time soon. This is from this NOAA page:
The recent moderate size, medium period north swell will be slowly declining through the day. Today's north surf heights will only subtly lower as an overlapping small, but slightly longer period, northwest swell fills in through tonight. A slightly larger, shorter period north northwest swell will arrive Thursday, peak Thursday night into early Friday then fall over the weekend. A large northwest swell is timed to reach the island chain Saturday night and peak Sunday. This swell will increase early week surf heights to above High Surf Advisory thresholds, possibly as high as low-end High Surf Warning levels. Looking further out to next week, a potentially even larger swell is possible Monday night into Tuesday

Surf's up and gonna stay up. Home guess for Hookipa is around head to head and a half and clean conditions.

Forecast of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.




Wind map at noon
. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).

Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: possibly over the ice sheet) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.

1 comment:

elysurf said...

Redemption! Hahahaha!!!