Saturday, August 08, 2020

Saturday 8 8 20 morning call

PLEASE don't aggregate into groups of 10 or more and keep social distance at the harbor.

This shot was posted by Mataio Tahiti.


And I still want to bore you with more downwind action. Not going to make a whole video out of the run of two days ago, but I might post the best clips. I find them hypnotizing. Maybe it's because I know how it feels to actually do that. I'd be curious to know what you guys think.


4am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.5ft @ 12s from 184° (S)            

Lanai
1.7ft @ 13s from 203° (SSW)            

The energy at the buoys is going to get smaller and smaller. Not much happened in the last week down under, as the collage of the maps of August 1 to 5 shows. That means that also this week should be tiny. This summer has been wonderful till the second half of July, after that it's been pretty average. Fortunately, starting mid August the forecast shows a new run of swells. If true, we should start seeing decent fetches forming soon.


Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
Pauwela
6.1ft @ 8s from 54° (ENE)            

Pretty solid windswell at Pauwela, there should be some waves at Hookipa (guessing chest/shoulder high from home), bigger on eastern exposures.

Do not get excited about what Pat Caldwell posted:
A broad area of low pressure in the Bering Sea tracked east 8/1-3. Parts of the fetch were south of the Aleutians centered on the Date Line aimed highest at targets NE of Hawaii. The PacIOOS/CDIP Waimea buoy midday 8/7 shows a smidgen of increase in the 10-12 second band from 330-350 degrees. This tiny event should peak overnight and drop on Saturday.
A similar pattern unfolded in the Bering 8/4-5. This system reached much less south of the Aleutians. Wave Watch III shows this event filling in late Sunday and dropping Monday though deep water swell smaller than the slither of 8/7. Tiny breakers are possible from 330-340 degrees.

Tiny NW for Oahu quite possibly means nothing for Maui. Here's the maps of August 1 to 6. Those fetches in the NW corner are too small and distant.


Wind map at noon
(the other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.

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