Wednesday 8 26 20 morning call

First downwind run on a demo Gofoil NL130 was awesome. It worked well on waves (even though I can get tighter turns on my GL120), but it really shines while winging as it handles the high speed with superior stability compared to the other Gofoil lines. I'll probably get one for winging (Hi-Tech has a bunch on order) and keep the GL120 for surfing. And the pieces of the puzzle keep changing.

Here's a 1 minute clip from yesterday's run.


2am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers

2.2ft @ 11s from 179° (S)

2ft @ 13s from 180° (S)

0.6ft @ 18s from 172° (S)

Lanai

2ft @ 10s from 187° (S)

1.6ft @ 11s from 179° (S)

1.4ft @ 13s from 181° (S)

Southerly energy down compared to the past few days, but it should be enough for some breakers. Not sure about the source of the small 18s at Barbers. Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
Pauwela

2.9ft @ 8s from 74° (ENE)

2.2ft @ 5s from 75° (ENE)

1.4ft @ 11s from 80° (E)

Extremely minor N/NE bump could possible show up today and tomorrow on the north shore (but no signs at Pauwela yet). Here's how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetch: A broad area of weak low pressure formed north of Hawaii Saturday 8/22 near 45N and moved SE as it weakened into Monday 8/24. Fresh to strong breezes aimed at Hawaii beyond 1200 nm out could bring in a tiny, short-period event locally building 8/26-27 from 000-020 degrees.

Below is the collage of the maps August 22 through 26 that will help follow. As you can see, there's really not much to be excited about.


Tiny waves at Hookipa, bigger on eastern exposures.

Got up super early this morning, so I did a Windy run and found a few interesting fetches in the north Pacific. Below is the collage of August 29, Sept 1 and 4. Possible NW, NE and NNW bumps few days after the fetches eventually happen. The last one should be the most significant, but it's also the most remote (from the time point of view), so the least reliable. Time will tell.


Wind map at noon (the other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column).


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: apparent direct aim, but out of the great circle ray map, so not 100% sure).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.