Honolua has occasional chest high waves (at the cave) and six guys out. Maybe it will get better with a lower tide, but seen the inconsistency, i would not recommend the drive.
I suck at calling the bay!
On this blog I'll post a daily forecast/report of the surf/windsurf conditions in Maui. Email me if you need to rent a place in Maui or if you need a surf, SUP, foil or windsurf lesson.