Sunday, May 23, 2021

Sunday 5 23 21 morning call

Facebook memories brought up this photo from when I went to Ujung Bocur in Indoniesia. One of the most consistent spots I've ever surfed.

7am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
Barbers
1.4ft @ 14s from 182° (S)

Lanai

1.2ft @ 14s from 173° (S)

Small southerly energy at the buoys. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
NW001
2.8ft @ 12s from 9° (N)

Waimea
0.6ft @ 14s from 329° (NW)

Hanalei
0.7ft @ 12s from 324° (NW)

Pauwela

4.1ft @ 8s from 71° (ENE)
2.3ft @ 6s from 69° (ENE)
0.4ft @ 13s from 355° (N)

New NNW swell should be on the slow rise all day. Here's how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetch:
A marginal gale formed east of the Date Line on the Aleutians with a fetch of near gales holding over a long fetch from the Aleutians southward about 600 nm. The fetch held about the same late Wednesday to early Friday. Peak seas were to 15’ with the head of the fetch 1600 nm away. Given the shorter dominant wave periods of this source (10-14 seconds), the long travel distance is a serious buffer since shorter period swell lose size faster. But it should still be enough to nose the breakers up from 330-350 degrees to near the May average late Sunday afternoon. It should peak on Monday then fall into tiny to small levels on Tuesday. Wednesday should be near nil again with tiny breakers on more westerly exposures.

Below are the maps of May 19 though 21 that will help follow. Nothing to be particularly excited about, but at least is from an unblocked direction (335 to 350).


Below are the graphs of NW001 and Pauwela together with the Surfline forecast.

The start of the day will be offer only the windswell, with some possible sets in the afternoon. The swell is predicted to peak tomorrow, possibly reaching overhead heights. Home guess for Hookipa this morning instead is for small waves at Pavillions.

Forecast and energy spectrum of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


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