Wednesday, February 10, 2021

Wednesday 2 10 morning call

Nice bottom turn on a chuncky bumpy Middles yesterday afternoon at Hookipa.

5am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion

South shore

No southerly energy at the buoys, check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore

5.9ft @ 9s from 8° (N)
5ft @ 13s from 309° (WNW)


5.3ft @ 10s from 345° (NNW)
5.2ft @ 15s from 330° (NW)
3.7ft @ 12s from 335° (NNW)
2.6ft @ 11s from 349° (NNW)

NW swell peaked during the night at Pauwela (graph below) and should hold pretty steady today with a slow decline in period. Home guess for Hookipa is head and a half to occasionally double and not the best shape due to the many overlapping periods.

As always, what really counts is the wind. Let's see what's in store for the rest of the week from this NOAA page: A high pressure system moving from west to east, north of the region, will produce northeast to east trade winds through the rest of the week. Wind speeds will decrease into the moderate to locally fresh range through Friday as the high center moves slowly eastward away from the area. Wind directions will veer from the east to southeast by this weekend as a high pressure ridge moves in from the north.

Wind map at noon.
The wind model on this PACIOOS page totally wrong yesterday, so today I'll post it together with an alternative: the Maui High Res model on Surfline. Similar directions for the north shore, but much stronger on the Pacioos model (on the right). We'll see which one is right.

Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):

South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):

Morning sky.

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