Tuesday, February 02, 2021

Tuesday 2 2 21 morning call

Jackson Bunch at Hookipa yesterday morning.

5am significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
1.6ft @ 14s from 212° (SW)

1.2ft @ 14s from 224° (SW)

Small SW energy at the buoys, the Lahaina webcam is back online, check it if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
6.1ft @ 11s from 11° (NNE)


4.1ft @ 8s from 48° (NE)
3.5ft @ 10s from 21° (NNE)
2.7ft @ 11s from 2° (N)
2ft @ 14s from 10° (N)

A long period WNW swell will rise only tomorrow, while today there's only going to be small shorter period energy from the N to the NE. Here's Pat Caldwell brief description of the main fetch that generated it:
A broad area of low pressure in the Gulf of Alaska 1/29-1/31 aimed marginal gales at targets east of Hawaii. Angular spreading is expected to keep some small surf locally Tuesday 2/2 from 010-030 degrees. It should drop on Wednesday.

Below are the maps of Jan 29 thorugh 31 on which I put blue arrows to indicate that fetch. The red arrows instead indicate the remote one that generated tomorrow's large WNW swell.

The lack of wind will make for excellent conditions, my home guess for Hookipa is barely head high.

Wind map at noon .The other ones can be found at link n.-2 of GP's meteo websites list in the right column (click on animation of the 10 meter column).

These are a couple of models on the Windguru page that show the wind prediction for today.

Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked).
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):

South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):

Morning sky.

No comments: