Sunday, February 28, 2021

Sunday 2 28 21 morning call

Thanks to Patrick for the donation.

No photos from yesterday, this is another masterpiece by Ben Thouard.


7am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore

Lanai

1.8ft @ 13s from 187° (S)

Lanai still shows the angular spreading swell that seems to be on the way down, but still able to provide waves of extremely high quality like the one below. Check the Lahaina or Kihei webcams if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.


North shore
NW101
6ft @ 14s from 298° (WNW)

NW001
5.4ft @ 14s from 336° (NNW)

Pauwela

7ft @ 10s from 58° (ENE)
5.6ft @ 8s from 60° (ENE)
2.8ft @ 15s from 313° (NW)

New NW swell has arrived at Pauwela, but is looking pretty meager compared to the elevated shorter period easterly energy. This is how Pat Caldwell described the evolution of the fetch (timing is for Oahu, Maui 4-5h after that):
The next low in the NW Pacific series was strongest just east of the Kuril Islands 2/23 with a ribbon of storm-force winds and wider area of gales. Seas grew to near 30 feet beyond 2400 nm away. The system steadily weakened well west of the Date Line 2/24-25. This remote source is due locally Saturday PM toward sundown from 305-320 degrees. It should peak Sunday midday, then slowly drop into Monday from 305-325 degrees.

Below are the maps of Feb 23 thorugh 25 that will help follow.


Below are the graphs of NW101 and Pauwela together with the Surfline forecast. This last one shows a peak at 3.5ft 15s, so nothing to be particularly excited, seen the much stronger windswell (and wind on it).

Home guess for Hookipa is head to head and a third and windy.

Wind map at noon. While waiting for the usual wind maps to come back online, these are two alternatives: PACIOOS page and Surfline.




Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.



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