Saturday, September 25, 2021

Saturday 9 25 21 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning.


Hookipa yesterday afternoon. Photo by Jimme Hepp from this album.

The swell was more west than ideal, but big enough to provide Honolua Bay with some sets. Brother Mau was on it.

4am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.
South shore
No southerly energy at Barbers, but that one gets plenty wrap from the NW, so we don't really know. There shouldn't be much other than some angular spreading from a massive swell that was aimed at South America. Below are the fetches of Sept 18 through 20 that show the very strong fetch.


The only way to find out what's in the water is to check the Lahaina webcam for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW101
4.9ft @ 13s from 340° (NNW)

Hanalei
8ft @ 13s from 317° (NW)

Waimea
3.7ft @ 14s from 323° (NW)


Kaneohe Bay
3.5ft @ 8s from 71° (ENE)

I noticed how Waimea was half the size of Hanalei and wondered why. Pat Caldwell did the same:
Interesting the much lower (almost a factor of 2) of the PacIOOS/CDIP Waimea, Oahu buoy compared to Hanalei. Judging by Sunset Beach cams midday 9/24– clearly 8 occn 10 Hs– bruisers. So, the surf seems much bigger than one would calculate from the buoy readings (6ish Hs). Either the buoy has a bias, or some heavy surfers paddled out and sat on the buoy so know one would know how good it is. Mysteries abound.

The lack of Pauwela and the strange behavior of Waimea make the home guess for Hookipa extremely difficult. The swell peaked, but it should still be around head and a half.

Forecast of Pauwela from this PACIOOS page.



Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here (click on animation of the 10 meter column).



Fetches map
(circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: possibly over the ice sheet) from Windy.
North Pacific
(about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):



South Pacific
(about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):



Morning sky.


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