Wednesday, March 08, 2023

Wednesday 3 8 23 morning call

Hookipa yesterday morning.


Lanes around 1pm.


Robby Naish was out winging.

6am Surfline significant buoy readings and discussion.

South shore
Lanai

  • 6.6ft
    , 7s, W 265º
  • 3.5ft
    , 5s, W 260º
  • 1.1ft
    , 13s, SSW 205º

Lanai shows high westerly windswell and a bit of long period SSW energy, but what counts is the Kona wind which will blow out the waves everywhere on the south shore. Check the Lahaina webcam if interested, for size, conditions and consistency.

North shore
NW001

  • 13ft
    , 16s, NW 305º
  • 16.2ft
    , 9s, WNW 290º
  • 4ft
    , 14s, WNW 300º

Mokapu

  • 2.6ft
    , 13s, NNE 15º
  • 2.8ft
    , 9s, N 5º
  • 0.9ft
    , 4s, NNW 340º

XL stormy NW swell will be on the rise all day. Below are the maps of March 6 through 8 that show the fetch that generated it.


This is the Surfline forecast showing that the shorter period 8s energy will rise first and only later in the day the longer period one from the heart/back of the fetch will follow. If there was no wind on it, this swell would be very stormy because of the overlapping arrival of short and long period (which is due to the proximity of the head of the fetch), but the strong konas will definitely clean up the faces of the waves on the north shore.

Nonetheless, the breaking patters will be disorganized and there will be a ton of energy in the water making the conditions very challenging and possibly dangerous, unless you find a sheltered place.
Home guess for Hookipa is for head high (possibly plus) in the morning, increasing throughout the day to double overhead plus at sunset. Well over triple overhead tomorrow.

Wind map at noon. The other ones can be found here.


Fetches map (circles legend: red: direct aim, blue: angular spreading, black: blocked, yellow: possibly over the ice sheet) from Windy.
North Pacific (about 4 days travel time from the NW corner of the North Pacific):


South Pacific (about 7 days travel time from east/west of New Zealand):


Morning sky.


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